Key-Reality
0xb2141c0aeddfa153dde8eaf834f44374553fa6aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$758.57
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-168.33
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
301 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$301.00
$132.44
- YES
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
358 shares @ 35.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$221.96
$96.66
- NO
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?
163 shares @ 62.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$161.53
$60.47
- YES
Will FaZe make a roster move before May?
49 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$49.00
$23.03
- YES
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
91 shares @ 21.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$24.11
$5.00
- NO
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.96
$0.16
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win by between 160 and 189 seats?
1032 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-227.04
- NO
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?
693 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.76
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 6PM ET
576 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-288.00
- YES
Will Medline's market cap be between $35B and $45B at market close on IPO day?
551 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-71.63
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?$273.90Apr 27, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?$246.51Apr 23, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?$131.25Apr 21, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?$2.00Apr 15, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMEast Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals$83.00Apr 15, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?$162.26Apr 12, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$451.26Apr 12, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?$172.90Apr 10, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?$125.30Apr 10, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$444.72Apr 10, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$8.60Apr 9, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$232.29Apr 9, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELL5kt meteor strike in 2026?$357.84Apr 9, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$143.20Apr 9, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$105.61Apr 7, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$106.11Mar 30, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$330.48Mar 29, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?$2.80Mar 26, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ceará SC win on 2026-04-01?$327.36Mar 25, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FaZe make a roster move before May?$7.42Mar 24, 16:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $217.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 13:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.