Baggy-Completion
0xb5e25c4d781854ea4ac0f3c4b55f81b5991ee599
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$7.7K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-714.76
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?
1803 shares @ 68.2¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$104.85
- YES
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
1469 shares @ 52.3¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$976.88
$208.02
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
1200 shares @ 60.7¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$833.88
$104.89
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 72.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$759.59
$183.60
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
866 shares @ 40.4¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$636.31
$286.31
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
600 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$555.00
$39.00
- NO
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
650 shares @ 49.2¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$507.38
$187.38
- NO
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
560 shares @ 75.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$472.88
$48.11
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
600 shares @ 72.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$438.30
$6.02
- NO
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
400 shares @ 67.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$345.96
$77.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLNYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?$440.00Jul 21, 19:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $434.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.