Well-Made-Recapitulation
0xb767e99df98303a31c7e2bf2aa553d08fc499b51
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$668.88
Total PnL
$-146.52
Realised
$-33.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
827 shares @ 78.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$632.65
$-12.40
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
357 shares @ 37.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$33.91
$-98.17
- YES
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 46.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.30
$-1.95
- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
1 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on March 21, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMAnother crypto hack over $100m before 2027?$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMDundee United FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$116.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Toreros$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (February 22)$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 21 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMSouthern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMLevante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5$0.00Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $150.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 23:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.