Oily-Hammer
0xb7782c75bacc642219dce44054f1a932a1460bcb
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$50.10
Total PnL
$3.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.64
$14.64
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
33 shares @ 27.0¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
19 shares @ 37.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
25 shares @ 55.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.13
$-8.63
- YES
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
121 shares @ 3.3¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.03
$1.03
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 37.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.97
$-1.03
- YES
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
59 shares @ 8.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.55
$-2.45
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?
11 shares @ 5.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.10
$1.53
- YES
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?$0.57May 19, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sayf win Sanremo 2026?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00May 19, 15:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $4.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 18:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".