Chilly-Ravioli
0xb7c45449c2d94245f2c4f86e854875a8d9b2be7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$45.32
Total PnL
$-39.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
54 shares @ 37.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.14
$-4.86
- YES
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
55 shares @ 19.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.32
$0.32
- YES
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
89 shares @ 11.3¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.12
$-0.88
- NO
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
7369 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
59 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.80
- YES
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?
46 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.00Jun 10, 21:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$10.00May 19, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$10.00May 19, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$7.80May 19, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$20.63May 19, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by May 31?$6.00May 18, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$10.00May 18, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$10.00May 18, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$10.00May 18, 21:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $9.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 21:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.