Impossible-Mate
0xbbff817636c5b0c3da85b5566838a1159329ca93
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$1.67
Total PnL
$-158.92
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.03
$-0.97
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
49 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.02
$-4.71
- NO
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?$1.00Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?$3.70Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?$4.37Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?$1.41Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$5.11Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$3.64Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS military draft authorized in 2026?$1.97Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.42Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$1.01Jun 30, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1.02Jun 30, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?$1.01Jun 30, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$1.02Jun 30, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.02Jun 30, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in June?$1.04Jun 30, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$1.04Jun 30, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.02Jun 30, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$1.05Jun 30, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in June?$1.07Jun 30, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$1.08Jun 30, 03:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 10:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.