Dearest-Alligator-Encounter
0xbc1dc000d825cb6f0e4abbd8bb962a59e7cebb97
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.58
Total PnL
$-18.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump say "Turtle" in May?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- NO
Will Trump say "Mouse" in May?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
- NO
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?
3 shares @ 34.9¢·now 12.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.65
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump Leave China on May 16?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$3.45May 15, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$11.49May 15, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$50.52May 14, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.04May 14, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.05May 13, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.08May 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mouse" in May?$1.00May 13, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Turtle" in May?$1.00May 13, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?$1.03May 13, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Leave China on May 16?$1.04May 13, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 13, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 13, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.03May 13, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.04May 13, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?$1.04May 13, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$50.06May 13, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$1.04May 13, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $8.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 16:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".