0xbc2f7e4f702b662d8d22b2ece7889ea34eaa4a70
0xbc2f7e4f702b662d8d22b2ece7889ea34eaa4a70
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$81.03
Total PnL
$-4.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.00
$3.70
- NO
Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
10 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$10.00
$3.30
- NO
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
10 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$10.00
$3.30
- YES
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
10 shares @ 34.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.83
$6.43
- NO
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
10 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$9.66
$6.48
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.05
$1.85
- NO
Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ?
8 shares @ 61.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$8.09
$3.13
- YES
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.35
$-1.05
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
10 shares @ 44.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.85
$-0.55
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
10 shares @ 33.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.85
$-1.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$6.70Apr 5, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$2.00Apr 5, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 5?$0.01Apr 5, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 180-199 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$3.30Apr 5, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C or higher on April 5?$0.01Apr 5, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anaconda" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$1.29Apr 5, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 6?$0.23Apr 5, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 3?$0.02Apr 5, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 3?$0.01Apr 5, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 5?$0.02Apr 5, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?$0.06Apr 5, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$0.60Apr 5, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?$0.04Apr 5, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 March 30-April 5?$0.06Apr 5, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?$0.14Apr 5, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?$0.31Apr 5, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$6.70Apr 5, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 2?$0.02Apr 5, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 6?$1.20Apr 5, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?$0.09Apr 5, 22:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 22:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".