Private-Sensitive
0xbd02e77562c3d7bee56d18079d4548575bf75e41
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$82.43
Total PnL
$-2.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.00
$3.00
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
15 shares @ 62.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.56
$3.12
- NO
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 64.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.79
$1.79
- YES
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
10 shares @ 91.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$9.73
$0.82
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.20
$-0.80
- NO
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?
9 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$9.18
$0.28
- NO
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.00
$2.72
- NO
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$1.75
- NO
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$3.97
$-6.03
- NO
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
14 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.68
Recent activity
- REDEEMSwalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?$19.99Jun 1, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$15.87Jun 1, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Democrats win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.00May 11, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.00May 11, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.00May 11, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.00May 8, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMFDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?$9.00May 8, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMBillions FDV above $50M one day after launch?$0.00May 5, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$15.15May 1, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$21.74May 1, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$15.62May 1, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 13 above $300?$1.00Apr 29, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on April 17?$1.43Apr 29, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 17?$1.44Apr 29, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 13 above $310?$1.60Apr 29, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 21?$1.71Apr 29, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on April 18?$1.89Apr 29, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$0.00Apr 29, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Thrash" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$1.94Apr 29, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 13 above $360?$2.00Apr 29, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 11:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.