Pessimistic-Temptress
0xbe5f88249721f00c4ca7acb4f09559d5006eb247
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$4.4K
Total PnL
$195.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?
2739 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$2.7K
$277.20
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
630 shares @ 95.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$624.25
$24.25
- YES
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?
529 shares @ 94.1¢·now 88.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$470.07
$-27.93
- YES
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
209 shares @ 95.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$207.97
$7.97
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
169 shares @ 59.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$148.31
$48.31
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
158 shares @ 95.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$118.48
$-31.52
- NO
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
121 shares @ 82.5¢·now 39.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$47.52
$-52.48
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
119 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$215.08Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$50.09Jun 13, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$50.09Jun 13, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$100.24Jun 13, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$50.87Jun 12, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$150.00Jun 8, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?$117.39Jun 8, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?$101.04Jun 5, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$200.25Jun 3, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUY World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?$300.00Jun 3, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$520.83Jun 1, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$101.64May 29, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: May$119.23May 29, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$100.00May 26, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?$600.86May 25, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$103.61May 25, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$441.52May 25, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$1.00May 23, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$200.00May 22, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$200.00May 22, 22:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $474.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.