Easy-Going-Reef
0xbfe694c244b5e408eaf103cbf68b0aac12ee16f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-174.56
Realised
$25.52
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
538 shares @ 71.9¢·now 91.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$489.98
$102.89
- NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
148 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$144.05
$3.98
- NO
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
51 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.98
$2.48
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
51 shares @ 71.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.80
$3.80
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
34 shares @ 82.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$29.70
$1.90
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
28 shares @ 85.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$27.82
$3.82
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
34 shares @ 72.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.63
$-0.17
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
39 shares @ 56.9¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$21.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
130 shares @ 26.8¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.15
$-14.75
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
23 shares @ 86.5¢·now 86.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.90
$-0.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by July 31?$36.29Jul 11, 21:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.80Jul 7, 15:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $59.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 01:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.