Unrealistic-Lighting
0xc19d235d2209850967586464df4545d7abd3865e
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$9.1K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-863.74
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
14300 shares @ 21.1¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$-224.24
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
7200 shares @ 20.6¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$205.49
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2802 shares @ 31.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.4K
$489.32
- YES
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
2100 shares @ 36.9¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$850.47
$74.59
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3302 shares @ 25.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$776.07
$-73.10
- YES
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
4817 shares @ 21.3¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$770.76
$-253.60
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
800 shares @ 21.2¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$308.00
$138.00
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
600 shares @ 21.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$194.99
$69.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
3500 shares @ 6.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.50
$-24.49
- YES
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
600 shares @ 18.7¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$168.00
$56.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.73Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$4.93Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$20.64Jun 13, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$14.92Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$83.30Jun 13, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$14.70Jun 13, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$98.00Jun 13, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$62.98Jun 13, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.6KJun 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$4.10Jun 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$69.39Jun 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$144.00Jun 13, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$149.43Jun 13, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.57Jun 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$221.78Jun 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$7.71Jun 13, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$207.00Jun 13, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.4KJun 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$576.50Jun 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$47.00Jun 13, 16:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $187.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 16:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.