Irresponsible-Barracks
0xc37e45b04525711081b6c53de27c30c71e1d9e64
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.5K
Realised
$-87.27
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
5000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
1490 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-149.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
1025 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-389.50
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
1000 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-270.00
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
700 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-378.00
- YES
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?
600 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-96.00
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
582 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-389.94
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
550 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-38.50
- YES
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?
508 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-116.84
- YES
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?
500 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-95.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$0.21Jun 29, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.30Jun 29, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.41Jun 29, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$5.47Jun 29, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$6.94Jun 29, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$7.27Jun 29, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$8.04Jun 29, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$13.84Jun 29, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5$14.22Jun 29, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$21.36Jun 29, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: 2026$23.94Jun 29, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$53.87Jun 29, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$65.26Jun 29, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$70.93Jun 29, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?$76.58Jun 29, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$78.00Jun 29, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$400.00Jun 26, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.3KJun 26, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$250.00Jun 22, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$233.15Jun 20, 20:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $131.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 11:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 01:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.