Merry-Continuity
0xc3c9083f13b219dcbb6b81b2d6877a58ac5aaf45
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$2.07
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Utah State Aggies
1265 shares @ 50.1¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$632.50
$-1.26
- NO
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?
960 shares @ 79.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$504.00
$-254.40
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
504 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$504.00
$0.50
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
318 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$276.66
$9.54
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
36 shares @ 90.2¢·now 23.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.33
$-24.14
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 39.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.85
$0.46
- YES
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.53
$-0.52
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
5 shares @ 53.3¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.40
$-2.27
- UNDER
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
576 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-397.44
- YES
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?
548 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-153.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFresno State Bulldogs vs. Utah State Aggies$633.76Apr 24, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$139.62Apr 21, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$1.32Apr 21, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$180.18Apr 21, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$139.62Apr 14, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$81.49Apr 12, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$98.60Apr 12, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$173.13Apr 12, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$5.80Apr 12, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$7.50Apr 12, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?$488.88Apr 12, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$0.30Apr 11, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$6.00Apr 11, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$16.38Apr 11, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$6.00Apr 11, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$191.98Apr 11, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$186.18Apr 11, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?$58.20Apr 11, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$16.12Apr 11, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$192.50Apr 10, 23:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $166.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 18:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 04:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.