Warped-Button
0xc3d393e28b0f5fee2c5f859f7b1f87cc6eb23ac4
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$124.49
Total PnL
$-39.32
Realised
$-3.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
44 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$19.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$19.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?
16 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$15.83
$11.08
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 36.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$13.55
$8.55
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$10.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$10.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
137 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.88
$-2.05
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$4.85
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$10.53Jun 12, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$10.56Jun 12, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$21.09Jun 12, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$5.28Jun 12, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$21.25Jun 12, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-17?$10.48Jun 11, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?$5.32Jun 11, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$21.13Jun 11, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$5.00May 27, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.13May 27, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$10.93May 27, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.09May 7, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$5.13May 7, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17?$2.00Apr 16, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?$5.00Apr 16, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$2.60Apr 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$1.00Apr 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$5.00Apr 13, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$0.00Apr 12, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$1.00Apr 9, 06:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $5.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 11:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 19:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.