Unhappy-Subsidy
0xc45785842fc5428801dc51e9dcde31b247a5e0b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$28.25
Total PnL
$-878.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
20 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$20.03
$0.03
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 82.5¢·now 87.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
586 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$20.01Jun 1, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 1, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 1, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$1.01Jun 1, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 1, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 1, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.00Jun 1, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.04Jun 1, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.28Jun 1, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$2.02Jun 1, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 18?$3.19Jun 1, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$3.82Jun 1, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?$5.10Jun 1, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.38Jun 1, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 18?$3.01May 18, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$2.00May 18, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.01May 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.00May 18, 09:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 16:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.