Babyish-Boost
0xc78f59fb754a0aeda839c35f1103c996ab414fcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$4.14
Total PnL
$-29.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 39.5¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 81.3¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 89.2¢·exp Jan 26, 2027$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 26.7¢·now 19.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.74
$-0.26
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.65
- YES
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 26, 2027$0.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
559 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? AND Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? AND Will England win on 2026-06-27? AND Will France win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$5.00Jun 26, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$1.00Jun 23, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLValantis FDV above $20M one day after launch?$0.80Jun 23, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.16May 20, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.05May 14, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 10, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEM50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?$1.03May 8, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.17May 8, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by April 30, 2026?$1.96Apr 16, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Rutte say "NATO" 5+ times during meeting with Prime Minister of Czechia?$1.96Apr 16, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Rutte say "NATO" 5+ times during meeting with Prime Minister of Czechia?$1.92Apr 16, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Billionaire" 5+ times during NYC rally?$1.03Apr 16, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBoxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov$0.92Apr 11, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released by June 30?$2.90Apr 11, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$2.77Apr 11, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hegseth say "Lethal" or "Lethality" during press conference?$0.00Apr 11, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on April 9?$0.00Apr 11, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Elizabeth Taylor" get between 2.25 and 2,5 million views in the first week?$0.00Apr 11, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?$0.00Apr 11, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on April 9?$0.00Apr 11, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 20:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 19:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.