Offbeat-Federation
0xc7a339e8d5b7e49d93a3823e95a894dfd6b69e4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$170.91
Total PnL
$4.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
32 shares @ 95.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.90
$-1.10
- YES
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
33 shares @ 89.6¢·now 83.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$27.78
$-2.22
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
27 shares @ 75.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$22.13
$2.13
- NO
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.95
$1.95
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
23 shares @ 88.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.16
$1.16
- NO
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
20 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.27
$0.27
- NO
Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?
13 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.10
$1.10
- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.40
$1.40
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.21
$0.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$41.35Jun 1, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?$10.42Jun 1, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$30.62Jun 1, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$45.27Jun 1, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$31.80Jun 1, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US recognize Palestine before 2027?$10.03May 23, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 23, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?$20.10May 22, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$30.00May 22, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?$30.12May 22, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US recognize Palestine before 2027?$20.03May 22, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 8, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$36.28May 7, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$21.68May 7, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 6, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 6, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 6, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 6, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$20.00May 1, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 1, 20:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $15.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 18:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.