Incomparable-Brood
0xc8772c78986f261429210f224e90bf59404175d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$107.64
Total PnL
$-779.61
Realised
$5.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
1591 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$77.96
$-49.32
- YES
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
20 shares @ 85.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$13.10
$-3.90
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
100 shares @ 38.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.50
$-31.50
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
59 shares @ 27.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.04
$-10.97
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 26.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.50
$-21.50
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.54
$-3.46
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
624 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-310.00
- YES
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
340 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-53.29
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
140 shares @ 82.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-115.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
100 shares @ 95.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-95.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$17.21May 26, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$28.44May 26, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$37.64May 26, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$26.00May 5, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$75.00Apr 12, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$68.62Apr 12, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$60.00Apr 12, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$25.55Apr 12, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$40.19Apr 12, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$35.00Apr 12, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$100.00Apr 12, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$40.00Apr 12, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$39.66Apr 12, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$40.00Apr 12, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$48.00Apr 11, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?$11.21Apr 10, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026?$25.00Apr 9, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$14.50Apr 7, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$10.50Apr 7, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$41.50Apr 7, 23:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $33.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 01:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 19:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.