Minor-Turret
0xc8f1285ebe25fedc2217b910702f06eae8bb325e
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$17.55
Total PnL
$-258.85
Realised
$-8.59
Win rate
26%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- NO
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
9 shares @ 64.0¢·now 72.7¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$6.27
$0.75
- YES
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
45 shares @ 7.4¢·now 11.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.23
$1.94
- YES
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
15 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.30
$-0.40
- YES
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
14 shares @ 13.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$0.21
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
1 shares @ 67.4¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$0.26
- YES
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
10 shares @ 18.8¢·now 5.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-1.28
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4 shares @ 16.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.24
$-0.47
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 13-19?
350 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-17.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 19?
255 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.55
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
158 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $4.40Jul 27, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.00Jul 27, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?$13.63Jul 27, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$23.54Jun 2, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$0.46May 5, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.46May 5, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$1.28May 5, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$2.20May 5, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$2.51May 5, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$2.96May 5, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?$4.38May 5, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$4.57May 5, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$13.87May 5, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$30.89May 5, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 19?$0.00Apr 24, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 19?$0.00Apr 24, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on April 20?$0.00Apr 24, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on April 19?$0.00Apr 24, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 20?$0.00Apr 24, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?$0.00Apr 24, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
26% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $8.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 23:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.