Wrong-Neighbour
0xcc868a8acff6b6acfe57428be68906e662d251c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$32.86
Total PnL
$-211.61
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$13.75
$3.75
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
25 shares @ 40.4¢·now 27.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.78
$-3.22
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.40
$-3.60
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.25
$-4.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
10 shares @ 36.0¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.69
$-2.91
- YES
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
390 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.29
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
299 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.76
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
126 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-46.74
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.82Jun 2, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$39.24Jun 2, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$46.94Jun 2, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.06Jun 2, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$703.33Jun 1, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway$5.13May 30, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$260.21May 30, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$110.37May 27, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.27May 24, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$149.81May 22, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$11.67May 20, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$10.86May 20, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?$9.00May 20, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$111.94May 20, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$9.82May 20, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$10.46May 20, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$49.53May 20, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$16.20May 19, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.21May 19, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.05May 19, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $43.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 10:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.