Clumsy-Substitution
0xcdb8bee273036db388e97262bff445e89a34f285
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-205.03
Win rate
48%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- UNDER
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 4.5
688 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$688.00
$89.44
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
766 shares @ 67.5¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$585.99
$68.83
- OVER
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 1.5
527 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$527.00
$152.83
- UNCW SEAHAWKS
UNCW Seahawks vs. Charleston Cougars
423 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$423.00
$287.64
- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
963 shares @ 74.1¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$404.46
$-309.12
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
714 shares @ 36.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$214.20
$-42.84
- NO
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
26 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$25.96
$2.04
- YES
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
22 shares @ 26.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$5.17
$-0.55
- YES
Deel IPO before 2027?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$-7.08
- NO
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.86
$0.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$437.75Apr 27, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$58.65Apr 27, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan Winner$9.70Apr 21, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan Winner$3.94Apr 21, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$50.90Apr 12, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$46.80Apr 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?$65.04Apr 12, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?$45.84Apr 12, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?$11.22Apr 12, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$19.71Apr 12, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$72.90Apr 12, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?$172.41Apr 11, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?$187.32Apr 11, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?$199.08Apr 11, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$438.00Apr 11, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 4.5$4.34Apr 11, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 4.5$2.02Apr 11, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$89.18Apr 11, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 1.5$374.17Apr 11, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$146.55Apr 11, 21:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $214.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".