Bogus-Competition
0xd22a9dab81930e284daca2cf7a200e89a7c8ac22
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$60.52
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?
673 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$673.00
$127.87
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
612 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$612.00
$0.61
- CLEMSON TIGERS
Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts
847 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$423.50
$-16.94
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
548 shares @ 36.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$183.58
$-13.70
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
41 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$20.50
$-0.41
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
86 shares @ 43.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.77
$-20.21
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
4 shares @ 68.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.32
$0.60
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.05
- YES
Will Jesse Jackson Jr. be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?
1252 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-788.76
- OVER
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
1121 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-358.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$360.38Apr 27, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$41.44Apr 27, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$122.10Apr 27, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi$151.70Apr 23, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi$290.51Apr 23, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$43.52Apr 21, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$64.96Apr 21, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$165.12Apr 21, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$481.07Apr 21, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$750.98Apr 21, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$142.50Apr 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$110.55Apr 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$121.80Apr 13, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$162.72Apr 13, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$34.56Apr 13, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$102.51Apr 13, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$42.84Apr 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$83.86Apr 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$117.00Apr 13, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$142.50Apr 13, 14:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $232.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.