0xd3c6166abde6112434093bbb3b1002a709f1555f
0xd3c6166abde6112434093bbb3b1002a709f1555f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$70.51
Total PnL
$-130.60
Realised
$-0.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1500 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.75
$-0.75
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
9 shares @ 67.5¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.80
$0.80
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 69.3¢·now 78.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.07
$0.57
- NO
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
5 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.55
$0.05
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 35.9¢·now 94.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.95
$2.45
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
8 shares @ 37.5¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.36
$0.36
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.23
$0.23
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
4 shares @ 70.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.21
$0.21
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 44.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.15
$1.65
- YES
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
190 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.14
$-1.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.50May 22, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?$1.47May 22, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYClube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Cuiabá EC: O/U 1.5$1.53May 22, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYClube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Cuiabá EC: O/U 1.5$1.52May 22, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Maghreb AS de Fès (-1.5)$1.53May 22, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?$1.50May 22, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$5.49May 22, 13:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.52May 21, 18:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?$1.53May 20, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.29May 20, 21:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$1.51May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$1.51May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$1.51May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$1.51May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$1.51May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$1.51May 18, 06:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 02:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 13:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".