Official-Barley
0xd4140031e313f8d850740a80d2ee6653c925a4db
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
56
Open notional
$96.5K
Total PnL
$8.0K
Realised
$6.0K
Win rate
67%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
40921 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$40.6K
$50.46
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
11203 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$11.2K
$48.34
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
9004 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$9.0K
$89.17
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
12382 shares @ 71.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.5K
$-352.66
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
7013 shares @ 71.3¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$5.2K
$223.61
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
5000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.7K
$125.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3296 shares @ 76.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$479.72
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
1929 shares @ 75.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$263.05
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
2021 shares @ 30.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$962.37
- YES
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
2663 shares @ 41.5¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$292.31
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?$1.0032m ago
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?$122.4047m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$68.594h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.274h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$4.767h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$264.428h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$42.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.579h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.8110h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.8111h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.8111h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.7012h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$136.3413h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$192.6814h ago
- YIELD$1.3214h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$93.0014h ago
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$142.5814h ago
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$7.7514h ago
- REWARD$14.7715h ago
- REWARD$0.1215h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $86.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 22h ago
- Last active
- 32m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.