Official-Barley
0xd4140031e313f8d850740a80d2ee6653c925a4db
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$712.48
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$16.4K
Win rate
67%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?
400 shares @ 48.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$289.93
$97.98
- NO
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
200 shares @ 57.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$122.00
$8.00
- NO
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
212 shares @ 31.4¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.60
$28.95
- YES
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
252 shares @ 5.3¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.31
$37.06
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
14969 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$37.42
$-67.36
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
268 shares @ 42.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.71
$-81.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
629 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.56
$8.28
- YES
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
327 shares @ 69.1¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.60
$-206.02
- YES
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
100 shares @ 39.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.50
$-20.50
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.77
$2.71
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.69May 28, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$5.76May 27, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$14.25May 27, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$210.84May 27, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?$273.35May 27, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$324.36May 27, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$879.78May 27, 01:19 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$21.10May 27, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?$34.16May 27, 00:21 UTC
- REWARD$2.34May 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$1.1KMay 26, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$516.38May 26, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$892.23May 26, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$620.00May 26, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$43.12May 26, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$37.00May 26, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$52.08May 26, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 26, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 26, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$56.00May 26, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$7.2K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
May 19, 18:00 UTC → May 19, 17:55 UTC
- SELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$7.2K@71¢May 19, 17:55 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$7.2K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$7.2K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $272.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 22:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.