Nutty-Sherbet
0xd5a79e115fa6b2d0459e8eb40096389cc59e4d86
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-756.87
Realised
$-9.03
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- OVER
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5
754 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$754.00
$143.26
- MID-AMERICA CHRISTIAN EVANGELS
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
503 shares @ 14.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$251.50
$181.08
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
201 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$201.00
$32.16
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
125 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$125.00
$38.75
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
11 shares @ 78.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.40
$0.82
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$8.00
$0.02
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.47
$0.27
- YES
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$0.78
$-0.30
- YES
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.56
$-1.39
- YES
Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $650M and $700M at market close on IPO day?
1259 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-151.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$610.74Apr 23, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$136.32Apr 13, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$7.63Apr 13, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?$399.75Apr 12, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$70.97Apr 11, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$19.14Apr 11, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$5.22Apr 11, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$23.52Apr 11, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$24.11Apr 11, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$64.93Apr 10, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$129.69Apr 10, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$86.25Apr 10, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$61.51Apr 10, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$218.40Apr 9, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$122.88Apr 9, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?$453.05Apr 7, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$182.00Apr 7, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$112.64Apr 7, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-17?$556.89Mar 30, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$191.10Mar 30, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $228.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 10:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.