Irritating-Fleck
0xd5d0d9cbdddc102a9bc50b3b1812fd6886491a0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in February?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in February?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NETS
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $30 in February?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Alien" in Corpus Christi on Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 6+ times in Corpus Christi on Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.02Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.05Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?$0.07Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nida Allam be the Democratic Nominee for NC-04?$0.06Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000 voters?$0.05Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$2.80Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?$15.54Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?$5.18Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abraham Enriquez be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?$10.39Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$2.61Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?$2.64Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?$2.30Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?$2.79Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$3.98Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$4.60Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?$17.84Mar 6, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLDems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?$18.06Mar 6, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?$19.38Mar 6, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$22.33Mar 6, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?$61.61Mar 6, 21:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $10.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 14:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 21:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.