Useless-Embarrassment
0xd5fa614088bbd1f7bcc452e5d06193764548f3f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$799.79
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-16.45
Win rate
58%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
633 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$632.68
$0.32
- NO
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
139 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$131.15
$4.66
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
32 shares @ 59.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$28.32
$9.40
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.35
$0.70
- YES
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.23
$0.07
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.99
$0.15
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
1 shares @ 63.0¢·now 78.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.78
$0.15
- YES
Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 43.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.21
$-0.22
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
2 shares @ 20.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.08
$-0.32
- OVER
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
1161 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-394.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$121.50Apr 11, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$521.52Apr 11, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$652.86Apr 10, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$653.35Apr 9, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$662.30Apr 8, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.40Apr 7, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Melania say "First Lady" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?$661.00Apr 7, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "First Lady" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?$495.75Mar 24, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill between 5500-6000 US flights be delayed on March 24?$0.13Mar 24, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill between 5500-6000 US flights be delayed on March 24?$71.50Mar 24, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$117.81Mar 24, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Connor Storrie attend the Oscars?$450.00Mar 24, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$117.81Mar 23, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-24?$135.52Mar 23, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$253.98Mar 21, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$250.92Mar 20, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$71.71Mar 18, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$80.94Mar 18, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$84.49Mar 18, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$12.78Mar 18, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $196.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 08:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".