Assured-Clapboard
0xd70ba171994a8397b7b7d6d73c36372d51eba152
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-146.41
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?
682 shares @ 54.8¢·now 83.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$567.76
$194.05
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?
718 shares @ 88.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$560.04
$-71.80
- NO
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?
438 shares @ 71.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$407.34
$96.36
- YES
Anduril IPO before 2027?
375 shares @ 17.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.13
$-20.63
- NO
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?
22 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$22.00
$2.86
- YES
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
21 shares @ 28.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.10
$-3.78
- NO
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.96
$0.05
- NO
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.48
$-2.64
- NO
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 12.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.23
$0.10
- YES
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?
1178 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-730.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$631.843d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$373.713d ago
- TRADESELLDatabricks IPO before 2027?$132.6614d ago
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?$104.9615d ago
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?$77.7615d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$503.1315d ago
- TRADESELLWill Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?$5.7515d ago
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$181.9715d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?$181.4415d ago
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$176.3315d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$310.9815d ago
- TRADEBUYDatabricks IPO before 2027?$180.9015d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$24.5716d ago
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$184.2216d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$99.9016d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$21.6717d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$519.1017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?$102.3518d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$474.8318d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$19.8218d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $240.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 35d ago
- Last active
- 3d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.