Adventurous-Poppy
0xd8370134e2f1e4574177cc8f3983ab5ab873e931
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$6.1K
Total PnL
$-7.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
16735 shares @ 19.4¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$-907.01
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
11082 shares @ 28.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$-1.3K
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
1859 shares @ 32.8¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$371.87
$-238.01
- YES
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
2336 shares @ 19.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$362.12
$-87.88
- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
1786 shares @ 25.2¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$160.71
$-289.29
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
24708 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$135.89
$-914.06
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
16310 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$122.32
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
9641 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$77.13
$-1.2K
- YES
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
115 shares @ 43.4¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$72.56
$22.56
- YES
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
102 shares @ 49.2¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$63.55
$13.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$500.00Jun 13, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$109.88Jun 13, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIran nuclear test before 2027?$159.93Jun 13, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke before 2027?$309.51Jun 13, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBlue wave in 2026?$139.64Jun 13, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?$0.00Jun 13, 07:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?$80.41Jun 10, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?$81.10Jun 10, 05:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $145.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 04:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.