Lucky-Consensus
0xd84c0d7793cc008e3346bcd001e66ec50ced5808
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$38.87
Total PnL
$-64.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
63 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$37.08
$0.32
- YES
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
35 shares @ 54.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.20
$-17.54
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
33 shares @ 36.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.58
$-11.42
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.02
$-1.98
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
90 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?
51 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
23 shares @ 64.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will "Animal Farm" score at least 25 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$37.22Jun 11, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Animal Farm" score at least 25 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$5.08May 3, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$5.33May 3, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$5.31May 3, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$10.36May 3, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$5.01May 3, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$5.01May 3, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$52.70May 3, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$18.74Apr 26, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?$4.00Apr 26, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$22.74Apr 23, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$18.42Apr 21, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill "No Kit" be said during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?$18.42Apr 21, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "No Kit" be said during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?$16.72Apr 16, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$15.00Apr 16, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Apr 16, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.00Apr 16, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.00Apr 16, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$40.00Apr 16, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$85.72Apr 16, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $20.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 20:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.