Elastic-Pug
0xd8f0cbcb34d4f660f2ab6adf4245b93ef00003a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$55.14
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?
15 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$15.00
$8.10
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
13 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.60
$5.29
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
12 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.61
$4.99
- NO
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
10 shares @ 42.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.98
$5.78
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 55.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.95
$0.45
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
7348 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-73.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8PM ET
2519 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-25.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
1500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
500 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-74.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
153 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-13.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$6.70May 30, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$3.59May 30, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$5.05May 30, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$4.30May 29, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic$6.79May 29, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 18, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$5.00May 18, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8.00May 18, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$10.58May 18, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs$6.11May 17, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$4.36May 17, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$5.61May 16, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$2.36May 16, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2.12May 16, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.63May 16, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill LedgerX self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 15, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff$7.80May 15, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$4.01May 14, 13:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 15:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 12:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".