Unknown-Permission
0xdb8d89f4e07844f0f5dce9f24d5e41b6d333aa15
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$6.2K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-284.49
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
3369 shares @ 83.4¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$381.06
- NO
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
818 shares @ 87.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$764.71
$50.43
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4266 shares @ 17.3¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$612.15
$-125.36
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
600 shares @ 89.3¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$563.09
$27.30
- NO
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
3929 shares @ 28.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$451.86
$-683.19
- NO
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
204 shares @ 16.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$150.07
$117.45
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
146 shares @ 57.6¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$84.76
$0.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
400 shares @ 34.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.00
$-74.00
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
111 shares @ 53.2¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$56.80
$-2.46
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
90 shares @ 55.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$55.80
$6.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 29, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$99.00May 28, 20:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 27, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $55.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.