Cautious-Photo
0xe1264cdeda1960ede52bf83be9a978302188a452
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$6.63
Total PnL
$-545.58
Realised
$-16.22
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.46
$-0.54
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
16 shares @ 74.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.71
$-11.29
- YES
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.71
$-1.29
- YES
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.51
$-1.49
- YES
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.01
$-4.99
- YES
Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
- YES
Will Thomas Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
6 shares @ 89.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
5912 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-199.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAnyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?$2.05Mar 14, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLTua Tagovailoa traded by next season?$2.00Mar 14, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe Bondi Parlay (Feb 27)$2.00Feb 13, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: 2026$2.00Feb 6, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?$1.90Feb 6, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMPelosi vs. S&P - January$2.63Feb 2, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$3.45Feb 2, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City advance to the round of 16?$12.12Feb 2, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$2.00Jan 23, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sue NYT/Siena over polling by Feb 28?$2.00Jan 23, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?$3.00Jan 23, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$2.00Jan 19, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLHonus Wagner card sale >$2 million?$2.00Jan 19, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$2.02Jan 19, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saks file Chapter 11 Bankruptcy by January 31?$2.17Jan 15, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?$2.00Jan 13, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saks file Chapter 11 Bankruptcy by January 31?$2.00Jan 13, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYHonus Wagner card sale >$2 million?$2.00Jan 13, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMXabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2026?$2.78Jan 13, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLAckman vs. S&P - January$2.00Jan 13, 07:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 07:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 07:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".