Caring-Typhoon
0xe590093617f00fdb6b8ab9db11c63ebd28af87bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-280.42
Realised
$-37.35
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
764 shares @ 68.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$584.46
$64.94
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
252 shares @ 64.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$226.80
$65.52
- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
629 shares @ 80.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$106.93
$-396.27
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
64 shares @ 67.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$57.92
$15.04
- NO
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?
58 shares @ 79.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.84
$9.02
- NO
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$19.00
$-0.75
- NO
French election called by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.00
$2.00
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
9 shares @ 47.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.67
$-2.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?$0.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?$5.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks$0.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$0.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be greater than 2,300,000?$0.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$0.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$74.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 31 be less than 2,000,000?$0.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?$0.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 7?$0.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMDundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?$0.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMAHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins$0.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$0.00Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.2KJun 17, 11:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $165.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 11:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.