Optimistic-Pneumonia
0xe72c273950d3e3b4da36651385f251a590fcbbf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-185.01
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?
1211 shares @ 74.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$1.2K
$308.80
- OBRAS
Obras vs. San Lorenzo
849 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$849.00
$466.95
- EC JUVENTUDE
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
607 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$303.50
$0.00
- MID-AMERICA CHRISTIAN EVANGELS
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
225 shares @ 14.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$112.50
$81.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.63
$0.42
- YES
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?
1 shares @ 57.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.12
$-0.45
- SOUTH CAROLINA STATE BULLDOGS
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)
1283 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS
California Golden Bears vs. Virginia Cavaliers
517 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-52.73
- OVER
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5
499 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-254.99
- NO
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 7?
450 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-40.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?$237.60Apr 27, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by April 30?$41.37Apr 21, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by April 30?$511.78Apr 21, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$123.20Apr 21, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$245.25Apr 12, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$588.65Apr 12, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$94.72Apr 12, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$105.92Apr 12, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$241.98Apr 12, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$820.25Apr 12, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$470.40Apr 12, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLLedger IPO before 2027?$32.66Apr 12, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLLedger IPO before 2027?$106.95Apr 12, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLLedger IPO before 2027?$29.67Apr 12, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?$25.76Apr 12, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?$152.49Apr 12, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?$39.56Apr 12, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?$147.92Apr 11, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?$606.30Apr 11, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?$140.18Apr 11, 09:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $232.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".