Probable-Trait
0xe7f1af76c89f3a5a3efceaf21fefd15aa7607511
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-126.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1036 shares @ 96.5¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$11.92
- NO
Will Alexander Volkanovski fight Max Holloway next?
151 shares @ 99.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp Mar 1, 2027$124.74
$-25.26
- YES
Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?
164 shares @ 91.3¢·now 70.3¢·exp Mar 7, 2027$115.42
$-34.58
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
2495 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
108 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- PIMBLETT
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
63 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-43.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)$80.562d ago
- REDEEMUFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)$0.002d ago
- REDEEMUFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)$0.002d ago
- REDEEMUFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$0.002d ago
- REDEEMUFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)$79.372d ago
- REDEEMUFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)$256.412d ago
- REDEEMUFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$350.882d ago
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)$201.322d ago
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)$50.552d ago
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)$50.572d ago
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$202.582d ago
- REDEEMFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score$259.745d ago
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score$201.388d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$129.879d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$101.669d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$30.969d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$26.399d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$26.389d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Volkanovski fight Max Holloway next?$150.0411d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?$150.3911d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $557.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 477d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".