0xea21aef5fee3251527b3906f1dbff11dc2d8ff2b
0xea21aef5fee3251527b3906f1dbff11dc2d8ff2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$112.83
Total PnL
$-12.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12 shares @ 67.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$11.32
$3.60
- NO
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?
11 shares @ 72.0¢·now 91.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.13
$2.13
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
29 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.07
$0.15
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
10 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$7.85
$0.05
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
14 shares @ 57.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
13 shares @ 56.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.47
$0.06
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
10 shares @ 70.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$7.30
$0.20
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 51.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.29
$1.29
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
15 shares @ 55.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.72
$-1.40
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
14 shares @ 50.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.38
$-0.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$5.09Jun 14, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?$4.88Jun 13, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$0.00Jun 13, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$9.13Jun 12, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$7.10Jun 12, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$4.98Jun 11, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 5, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?$7.98Jun 1, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?$2.37Jun 1, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$8.61Jun 1, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00May 31, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?$0.00May 28, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$2.27May 28, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?$4.48May 28, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 27?$8.14May 27, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 27?$4.80May 27, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$7.54May 27, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.00May 27, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.00May 27, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$13.43May 27, 08:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $5.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 00:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.