Pastel-Distributor
0xea41ce13c290a4491f946b5976c79c901ff80782
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$63.15
Total PnL
$-1.88
Realised
$-1.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.95
$0.95
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.55
$-0.45
- NO
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.19
$0.19
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 70.3¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.48
$0.48
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.41
$0.41
- NO
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will Trump say "Farmer" during King Charles visit?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.19
$0.20
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.13
$0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.0317h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.0017h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.0017h ago
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$1.0217h ago
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by May 31?$1.0117h ago
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$1.0017h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.0117h ago
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?$1.0322h ago
- TRADESELLWill USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?$0.9222h ago
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?$1.0323h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.0023h ago
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$5.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mosquito" in May?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?$1.011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?$1.001d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 17h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".