Bitter-Yarn
0xea905c5297b54ae887317ab252f5671a04b20f8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-141.73
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- OVER
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5
692 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$692.00
$131.48
- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
758 shares @ 74.2¢·now 51.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$393.40
$-169.03
- NO
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
173 shares @ 35.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$123.69
$63.14
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
108 shares @ 82.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$32.40
$-56.16
- YES
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
664 shares @ 12.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$19.92
$-59.76
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
15 shares @ 38.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.92
$-2.77
- YES
Will Chappell Roan perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?
746 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-82.06
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
666 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-179.82
- NO
Will "Ult" or "Ultimate" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
516 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-58.82
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
494 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-118.56
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$65.34Apr 27, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$560.52Apr 23, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$3.40Apr 21, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$65.92Apr 21, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?$47.58Apr 21, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?$23.53Apr 21, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?$1.20Apr 21, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$292.41Apr 21, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$257.07Apr 21, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$4.62Apr 21, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$179.34Apr 21, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$65.73Apr 21, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMAnother crypto hack over $100m before 2027?$6.00Apr 14, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMOver $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?$33.00Apr 14, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$394.00Apr 14, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Silicon Valley" be said 2+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.5KApr 14, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$440.16Apr 13, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$456.00Apr 13, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$464.00Apr 13, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$440.16Apr 13, 12:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $239.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 09:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.