Disguised-Baggy
0xed116e6d4190e5c09f950a893074b5a5aef710be
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$18.3K
Total PnL
$-163.81
Realised
$169.09
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
4711 shares @ 73.9¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.0K
$476.11
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
2219 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.0K
$33.29
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2250 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.9K
$-33.75
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
1558 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$47.14
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
2212 shares @ 52.2¢·now 47.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-115.71
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
1145 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$921.81
$5.73
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
804 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$779.59
$7.64
- NO
Will K'Andre Miller win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
734 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$733.15
$1.57
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1250 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$731.02
$-6.25
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
571 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$569.71
$9.71
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? AND Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$90.62Jun 14, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.89Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$2.55Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$50.00Jun 13, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$186.24Jun 13, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$10.00Jun 13, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$10.00Jun 13, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$25.24Jun 13, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$50.00Jun 13, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$330.82Jun 13, 01:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.89Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.13Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$67.50Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.60Jun 12, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.70Jun 12, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.13Jun 12, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.93Jun 12, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$650.04Jun 12, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$153.15Jun 12, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$3.3KJun 12, 17:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $342.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.