0xed68ee93fec8e73db18d7f9f29eeec5b8d830b23
0xed68ee93fec8e73db18d7f9f29eeec5b8d830b23
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$63.06
Total PnL
$-3.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
23 shares @ 30.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.97
$1.04
- NO
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.63
$0.64
- NO
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?
11 shares @ 60.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$7.60
$0.89
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
9 shares @ 77.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.54
$0.55
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
14 shares @ 51.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.34
$0.34
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
13 shares @ 46.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.69
$-0.06
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
11 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.58
$0.00
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.48
$0.36
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.43
$-1.40
- YES
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
8 shares @ 29.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.12
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2.39Jun 14, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$1.29Jun 13, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$0.00Jun 13, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 12, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?$6.82Jun 12, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$6.84Jun 11, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 10, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$9.21Jun 9, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.00Jun 8, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.00Jun 4, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$6.00Jun 4, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$0.00Jun 2, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$9.16Jun 2, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.94May 31, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00May 31, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.99May 31, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00May 31, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.90May 30, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: March$10.34May 30, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.73May 30, 08:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $3.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 01:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.