Unfolded-Volatility
0xee0839bebd1b7d5bfad12c28453b64b2405aa032
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$76.77
Total PnL
$-902.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Spain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?
73 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$26.79
$-0.37
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
45 shares @ 52.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$25.87
$2.47
- NO
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals
20 shares @ 58.7¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$12.10
$0.36
- NO
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals
20 shares @ 62.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$12.00
$-0.40
- KRÜ BLAZE
Valorant: MIBR Female vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3)
220 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-88.00
- LOS ANGELES THIEVES
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5)
220 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-121.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
210 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.80
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-158.00
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Nuggets
200 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-97.96
- UTAH
Utah vs. Ducks
160 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-83.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals$11.88Jul 1, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ goals$12.54Jul 1, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?$27.67Jul 1, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$30.00Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$50.00Jun 25, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$100.00Jun 24, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMNetherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$60.00Jun 14, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$32.25Jun 14, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$68.97May 31, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Cavaliers$11.11May 24, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-23?$7.81May 23, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Cavaliers$5.08May 23, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-23?$5.05May 23, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$71.82May 23, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$57.98May 23, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Knicks$95.00May 20, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$47.08May 19, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees$120.00May 19, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees$80.01May 18, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$68.04May 18, 06:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $36.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 11:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.