Slushy-Baby
0xee1a060c1d574fb4af978bafe9dee21bbb865a46
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$8.34
Total PnL
$-679.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 54.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 92.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.69
$-0.31
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- BILLS
Bills vs. Texans
142 shares @ 71.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-102.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$6.67Jul 13, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$8.06Jul 13, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$2.02Jul 9, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$2.02Jul 9, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$5.06Jul 9, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026?$1.11Jul 9, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.61Jul 9, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$1.69Jul 9, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.79Jul 9, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?$2.17Jul 9, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?$1.02May 15, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.02May 15, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 15, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.02May 15, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1.01May 15, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$1.02May 15, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.02May 15, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$1.61May 15, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.75May 15, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$1.93May 15, 07:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 12:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 06:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.