Terrific-Peacock
0xee91fe99a27056432eb6a7960b900a58f8ce7eb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$140.99
Total PnL
$-79.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
33 shares @ 45.7¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.43
$9.43
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.24
$-1.76
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
80 shares @ 13.7¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
13 shares @ 52.7¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$8.03
$1.03
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.69
$4.69
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.60
$0.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 33.7¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.47
$-2.53
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.76
$1.76
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.60
$-0.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2AM ET$1.02May 27, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2AM ET$1.02May 27, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2AM ET$1.02May 27, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$5.50May 27, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$5.16May 27, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$9.25May 27, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$5.14May 27, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.03May 27, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.04May 26, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$3.24May 26, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.04May 26, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.04May 26, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.00May 26, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00May 26, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$0.00May 26, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00May 26, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.00May 26, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.00May 26, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$3.48May 26, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$5.15May 26, 23:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 19:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 06:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.