Esteemed-Fibrosis
0xef43652e86fd9e186778b6940bff286f36ac7b62
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$255.23
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-479.98
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
3316 shares @ 7.3¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$200.64
$-41.08
- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
70 shares @ 35.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.95
$16.45
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
117 shares @ 10.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.42
$-5.58
- YES
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
50 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.50
$-2.00
- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
30 shares @ 60.1¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.11
$-14.67
- YES
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?
2571 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-43.58
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
1786 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
1098 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$71.02May 14, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$47.19May 14, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$9.73May 14, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$9.09May 14, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$67.45May 14, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus vaccine in 2026? $5.74May 14, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$24.14May 14, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?$35.97May 14, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$1.47May 14, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$2.49May 14, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$3.43May 14, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$6.44May 14, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.19May 14, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$100.50May 14, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by December 31?$100.66May 14, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$31.64May 14, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$32.19May 14, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$42.44May 14, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$42.92May 14, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$112.72Apr 2, 22:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $51.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 00:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 18:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".