0xf254a30771b48babefa4d8616c1ed6f6548853c8
0xf254a30771b48babefa4d8616c1ed6f6548853c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$19.8K
Total PnL
$-497.65
Realised
$-123.95
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
6228 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.2K
$91.17
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4883 shares @ 85.2¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.9K
$-276.94
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3949 shares @ 81.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.8K
$567.29
- NO
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1445 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.4K
$33.94
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
1405 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.4K
$53.95
- NO
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
728 shares @ 97.9¢·now 96.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$704.38
$-8.49
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
886 shares @ 74.1¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$655.69
$-1.31
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
936 shares @ 77.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$397.89
$-322.99
- NO
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
374 shares @ 71.6¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$329.17
$61.22
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
605 shares @ 77.3¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$323.46
$-144.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$304.65May 18, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$389.46May 18, 02:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.42May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.42May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$139.33May 16, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$24.59May 16, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$87.19May 16, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$10.45May 16, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$79.74May 16, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$7.92May 16, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$87.67May 16, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$9.88May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.25May 16, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$304.60May 16, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$147.80May 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$13.80May 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$168.60May 16, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$19.41May 16, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$75.13May 16, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$132.80May 16, 20:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $88.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 20:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".