Made-Up-Withdrawal
0xf32417a339933e6533687be421b9983cb5fccac4
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$216.21
Total PnL
$0.98
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
43 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$43.17
$0.19
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?
41 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$41.02
$1.02
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
37 shares @ 99.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$36.41
$-0.46
- NO
Trump out as President by May 31?
24 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.13
$0.01
- SPURS
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves
30 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$20.15
$0.15
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$19.90
$-0.11
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
18 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$17.32
$0.05
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$4.61
$0.03
- NO
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
4 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.09
$-0.00
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.402h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$20.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$16.875h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$10.165h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$29.285h ago
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves $20.2011h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$20.0016h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$20.0016h ago
- REDEEMWill a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?$20.021d ago
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? $20.041d ago
- REDEEMGame Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)$14.611d ago
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? $20.022d ago
- REDEEMWill Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?$1.022d ago
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Hungary by April 30, 2026?$1.102d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in April 2026?$1.292d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in April?$3.322d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$21.042d ago
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?$42.412d ago
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)$5.032d ago
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)$2.272d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $9.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
