Zealous-Universe
0xf3bcb6a7bccdeb5b2ff5dd7364627504885f43e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$175.53
Realised
$210.69
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
624 shares @ 32.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$624.00
$421.82
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
254 shares @ 28.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$254.00
$180.59
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
260 shares @ 60.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$234.00
$78.00
- NO
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
4 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.00
$0.44
- YES
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
16 shares @ 18.4¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.88
$-1.01
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 31.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.13
$-0.18
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 27.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.13
$-0.14
- BLACKBURN BEAVERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
750 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-151.50
- YES
Will Jesse Armstrong - Mountainhead win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?
400 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- YES
Will Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-03-06?
389 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-97.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$26.04Jun 16, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$14.94Jun 16, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$24.90Jun 15, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$211.56Apr 27, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?$223.65Apr 27, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$419.54Apr 27, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$236.16Apr 23, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$325.66Apr 21, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$587.38Apr 21, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$159.98Apr 21, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Syria recognize Israel by June 30?$502.20Apr 21, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$264.00Apr 21, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$255.36Apr 21, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?$108.63Apr 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Syria recognize Israel by June 30?$496.62Apr 13, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$460.08Apr 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$601.04Apr 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$194.56Apr 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$227.20Apr 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLFannie Mae IPO before 2027?$27.00Apr 13, 10:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
46% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $231.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 05:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.