Ill-Informed-Disability
0xf572a3d4a0a521ceb3c4800a5f589926a63609f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$436.08
Total PnL
$-11.2K
Realised
$-707.59
Win rate
41%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
28013 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$266.12
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3036 shares @ 4.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$62.24
$-69.57
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
161 shares @ 72.7¢·now 16.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.88
$-91.30
- YES
Obama federally charged before 2027?
566 shares @ 10.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.18
$-34.82
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
178 shares @ 56.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.69
$-82.62
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
214 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.18
$-16.82
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
161 shares @ 50.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.07
$-68.42
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 67.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.44
$0.70
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.28
$-4.72
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
16622 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$19.98Jun 11, 21:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$15.82Jun 8, 20:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$98.10Jun 7, 05:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$101.96Jun 6, 01:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$398.83Jun 1, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?$199.84Jun 1, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $217.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.