Ill-Informed-Disability
0xf572a3d4a0a521ceb3c4800a5f589926a63609f2
Quality score
65/100
Open positions
45
Open notional
$489.51
Total PnL
$-8.6K
Realised
$-779.01
Win rate
38%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1318 shares @ 17.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$177.95
$-57.50
- YES
Obama federally charged before 2027?
566 shares @ 10.6¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.93
$18.93
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
161 shares @ 72.7¢·now 41.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.35
$-50.83
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3036 shares @ 4.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$56.17
$-75.64
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
161 shares @ 50.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.05
$-39.44
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
178 shares @ 56.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.50
$-64.82
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
214 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.96
$-14.04
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.17
$-0.83
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 67.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.44
$0.70
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
16622 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0116h ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- YIELD$0.014d ago
- YIELD$0.015d ago
- YIELD$0.016d ago
- YIELD$0.017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$32.117d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$32.057d ago
- YIELD$0.018d ago
- YIELD$0.019d ago
- YIELD$0.0110d ago
- YIELD$0.0111d ago
- YIELD$0.0112d ago
- YIELD$0.0113d ago
- YIELD$0.0114d ago
- YIELD$0.0115d ago
- YIELD$0.0116d ago
- YIELD$0.0117d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$50.0617d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $58.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 42d ago
- Last active
- 16h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.